Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$97,140 거래량
$97,140 거래량
2026.05.02
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$97,140 거래량
$97,140 거래량
2026.05.02
17°C or below
$3,670 거래량
No
18°C
$5,985 거래량
No
19°C
$6,086 거래량
No
20°C
$5,338 거래량
No
21°C
$4,960 거래량
No
22°C
$6,122 거래량
No
23°C
$7,453 거래량
No
24°C
$13,281 거래량
No
25°C
$12,648 거래량
Yes
26°C
$18,119 거래량
No
27°C or higher
$13,478 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$97,140종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$97,140종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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