Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 20?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,730 거래량
$27,730 거래량
2026.05.20
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,730 거래량
$27,730 거래량
2026.05.20
25°C or below
$238 거래량
No
26°C
$320 거래량
No
27°C
$516 거래량
No
28°C
$477 거래량
No
29°C
$1,651 거래량
No
30°C
$1,733 거래량
No
31°C
$2,450 거래량
No
32°C
$3,126 거래량
No
33°C
$7,755 거래량
No
34°C
$4,831 거래량
Yes
35°C or higher
$4,633 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
거래량
$27,730종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$27,730종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 18, 2026, 12:53 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 34°C in Chengdu today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure dominance over Sichuan province and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble forecasts place maximum temperatures within a narrow 32–34°C range under partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical May climatology for the region where afternoon peaks rarely breach 35°C without strong frontal systems. Local surface observations through the morning align with these projections, showing gradual warming from overnight lows near 20°C. An unexpected shift in steering winds or enhanced solar heating could elevate readings, though current model consensus assigns minimal probability to such changes before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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