Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,725 거래량
$119,725 거래량
2026.05.07
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,725 거래량
$119,725 거래량
2026.05.07
24°C or below
$7,554 거래량
No
25°C
$7,021 거래량
No
26°C
$14,061 거래량
No
27°C
$19,209 거래량
No
28°C
$16,668 거래량
No
29°C
$13,467 거래량
Yes
30°C
$10,389 거래량
No
31°C
$11,879 거래량
No
32°C
$6,416 거래량
No
33°C
$7,077 거래량
No
34°C or higher
$5,985 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
거래량
$119,725종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$119,725종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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