National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 65–72°F on May 4, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, as seasonably mild conditions prevail amid southerly winds and an upper-level ridge fostering robust diurnal heating. Recent observations show May 1–3 highs climbing from 46°F to near 60°F after an unseasonably cool start, with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles confirming low frost risk and ample sunshine. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with NOAA guidance, though a rare northward surge of cool Canadian air could theoretically cap highs below 48°F if steering currents shift unexpectedly—unlikely per current synoptic patterns. Hourly updates from O'Hare observations will refine resolution by day's end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on May 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 4?
48°F or higher 100.0%
29°F or below <1%
30-31°F <1%
32-33°F <1%
$65,235 거래량
$65,235 거래량
2026.05.04
29°F or below
No
30-31°F
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48°F or higher
Yes
48°F or higher 100.0%
29°F or below <1%
30-31°F <1%
32-33°F <1%
$65,235 거래량
$65,235 거래량
2026.05.04
29°F or below
$6,491 거래량
No
30-31°F
$1,327 거래량
No
32-33°F
$1,327 거래량
No
34-35°F
$2,402 거래량
No
36-37°F
$3,270 거래량
No
38-39°F
$3,329 거래량
No
40-41°F
$3,024 거래량
No
42-43°F
$2,057 거래량
No
44-45°F
$1,508 거래량
No
46-47°F
$15,383 거래량
No
48°F or higher
$25,120 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 65–72°F on May 4, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, as seasonably mild conditions prevail amid southerly winds and an upper-level ridge fostering robust diurnal heating. Recent observations show May 1–3 highs climbing from 46°F to near 60°F after an unseasonably cool start, with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles confirming low frost risk and ample sunshine. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with NOAA guidance, though a rare northward surge of cool Canadian air could theoretically cap highs below 48°F if steering currents shift unexpectedly—unlikely per current synoptic patterns. Hourly updates from O'Hare observations will refine resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
거래량
$65,235종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 65–72°F on May 4, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, as seasonably mild conditions prevail amid southerly winds and an upper-level ridge fostering robust diurnal heating. Recent observations show May 1–3 highs climbing from 46°F to near 60°F after an unseasonably cool start, with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles confirming low frost risk and ample sunshine. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with NOAA guidance, though a rare northward surge of cool Canadian air could theoretically cap highs below 48°F if steering currents shift unexpectedly—unlikely per current synoptic patterns. Hourly updates from O'Hare observations will refine resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$65,235종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 65–72°F on May 4, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 48°F or higher, as seasonably mild conditions prevail amid southerly winds and an upper-level ridge fostering robust diurnal heating. Recent observations show May 1–3 highs climbing from 46°F to near 60°F after an unseasonably cool start, with model consensus from GFS and NAM ensembles confirming low frost risk and ample sunshine. Trader sentiment reflects this skin-in-the-game alignment with NOAA guidance, though a rare northward surge of cool Canadian air could theoretically cap highs below 48°F if steering currents shift unexpectedly—unlikely per current synoptic patterns. Hourly updates from O'Hare observations will refine resolution by day's end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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