Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 2?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 거래량
$64,044 거래량
2026.05.02
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 거래량
$64,044 거래량
2026.05.02
15°C or below
$1,037 거래량
No
16°C
$762 거래량
No
17°C
$1,432 거래량
No
18°C
$6,328 거래량
No
19°C
$5,717 거래량
No
20°C
$3,541 거래량
No
21°C
$5,238 거래량
No
22°C
$9,916 거래량
No
23°C
$10,759 거래량
Yes
24°C
$10,360 거래량
No
25°C or higher
$8,953 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$64,044종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$64,044종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문