Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$64,057 거래량
$64,057 거래량
2026.05.07
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$64,057 거래량
$64,057 거래량
2026.05.07
16°C or below
$520 거래량
No
17°C
$2,533 거래량
No
18°C
$1,006 거래량
No
19°C
$4,563 거래량
No
20°C
$4,449 거래량
No
21°C
$3,257 거래량
No
22°C
$4,099 거래량
No
23°C
$3,584 거래량
No
24°C
$7,570 거래량
No
25°C
$16,305 거래량
Yes
26°C or higher
$16,172 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
거래량
$64,057종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$64,057종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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