Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on May 12, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a peak near 78°F at Denver International Airport, corroborated by consensus across GFS and ECMWF models showing persistent high-pressure ridging and ample solar heating at elevation. Morning observations from KDEN already surpassed 61°F under clear skies with light winds, aligning with historical May 12 normals around 70°F and recent spring warming trends absent any cold frontal threats. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen upslope flow or convective cooling, but current upper-air patterns and forecast stability render such shifts improbable as the day progresses toward official hourly updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Denver on May 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 12?
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$36,075 거래량
$36,075 거래량
2026.05.12
41°F or below
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F or higher
Yes
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$36,075 거래량
$36,075 거래량
2026.05.12
41°F or below
$2,725 거래량
No
42-43°F
$1,695 거래량
No
44-45°F
$1,320 거래량
No
46-47°F
$1,890 거래량
No
48-49°F
$2,230 거래량
No
50-51°F
$1,629 거래량
No
52-53°F
$1,678 거래량
No
54-55°F
$3,160 거래량
No
56-57°F
$2,128 거래량
No
58-59°F
$4,115 거래량
No
60°F or higher
$13,506 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on May 12, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a peak near 78°F at Denver International Airport, corroborated by consensus across GFS and ECMWF models showing persistent high-pressure ridging and ample solar heating at elevation. Morning observations from KDEN already surpassed 61°F under clear skies with light winds, aligning with historical May 12 normals around 70°F and recent spring warming trends absent any cold frontal threats. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen upslope flow or convective cooling, but current upper-air patterns and forecast stability render such shifts improbable as the day progresses toward official hourly updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
거래량
$36,075종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on May 12, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a peak near 78°F at Denver International Airport, corroborated by consensus across GFS and ECMWF models showing persistent high-pressure ridging and ample solar heating at elevation. Morning observations from KDEN already surpassed 61°F under clear skies with light winds, aligning with historical May 12 normals around 70°F and recent spring warming trends absent any cold frontal threats. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen upslope flow or convective cooling, but current upper-air patterns and forecast stability render such shifts improbable as the day progresses toward official hourly updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$36,075종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on May 12, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a peak near 78°F at Denver International Airport, corroborated by consensus across GFS and ECMWF models showing persistent high-pressure ridging and ample solar heating at elevation. Morning observations from KDEN already surpassed 61°F under clear skies with light winds, aligning with historical May 12 normals around 70°F and recent spring warming trends absent any cold frontal threats. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen upslope flow or convective cooling, but current upper-air patterns and forecast stability render such shifts improbable as the day progresses toward official hourly updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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