Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 4?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 4?
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$45,773 거래량
$45,773 거래량
2026.05.04
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
Yes
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$45,773 거래량
$45,773 거래량
2026.05.04
3°C or below
$600 거래량
No
4°C
$451 거래량
No
5°C
$1,551 거래량
No
6°C
$918 거래량
No
7°C
$2,844 거래량
No
8°C
$2,873 거래량
No
9°C
$3,073 거래량
No
10°C
$3,528 거래량
No
11°C
$4,029 거래량
No
12°C
$3,388 거래량
No
13°C or higher
$22,520 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$45,773종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$45,773종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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