Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Houston on May 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 7?
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$62,169 거래량
$62,169 거래량
2026.05.07
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$62,169 거래량
$62,169 거래량
2026.05.07
63°F or below
$6,056 거래량
No
64-65°F
$5,521 거래량
No
66-67°F
$2,050 거래량
No
68-69°F
$2,024 거래량
No
70-71°F
$5,752 거래량
No
72-73°F
$6,042 거래량
No
74-75°F
$3,774 거래량
No
76-77°F
$6,180 거래량
No
78-79°F
$9,162 거래량
Yes
80-81°F
$6,367 거래량
No
82°F or higher
$9,243 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
거래량
$62,169종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$62,169종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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