Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 거래량
$84,714 거래량
2026.05.04
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 거래량
$84,714 거래량
2026.05.04
28°C or below
$1,609 거래량
No
29°C
$2,842 거래량
No
30°C
$6,295 거래량
No
31°C
$7,459 거래량
No
32°C
$6,288 거래량
No
33°C
$9,313 거래량
No
34°C
$19,351 거래량
Yes
35°C
$18,749 거래량
No
36°C
$5,681 거래량
No
37°C
$3,669 거래량
No
38°C or higher
$3,459 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$84,714종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$84,714종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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