Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,443 거래량
$28,443 거래량
2026.05.01
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,443 거래량
$28,443 거래량
2026.05.01
27°C or below
$710 거래량
No
28°C
$1,581 거래량
No
29°C
$1,473 거래량
No
30°C
$1,544 거래량
No
31°C
$2,645 거래량
No
32°C
$2,783 거래량
No
33°C
$2,347 거래량
No
34°C
$2,271 거래량
No
35°C
$2,604 거래량
No
36°C
$4,068 거래량
Yes
37°C or higher
$6,416 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
거래량
$28,443종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$28,443종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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