Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,690 거래량
$35,690 거래량
2026.05.03
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,690 거래량
$35,690 거래량
2026.05.03
29°C or below
$6,824 거래량
No
30°C
$1,348 거래량
No
31°C
$1,033 거래량
No
32°C
$1,898 거래량
No
33°C
$1,895 거래량
No
34°C
$2,412 거래량
No
35°C
$1,820 거래량
No
36°C
$8,233 거래량
No
37°C
$1,648 거래량
No
38°C
$4,193 거래량
No
39°C or higher
$4,387 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
거래량
$35,690종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$35,690종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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