Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 거래량
$30,150 거래량
2026.05.02
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 거래량
$30,150 거래량
2026.05.02
29°C or below
$2,007 거래량
No
30°C
$2,063 거래량
No
31°C
$617 거래량
No
32°C
$2,695 거래량
No
33°C
$2,375 거래량
No
34°C
$2,937 거래량
No
35°C
$2,515 거래량
No
36°C
$2,494 거래량
No
37°C
$2,377 거래량
No
38°C
$5,011 거래량
No
39°C or higher
$5,058 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
거래량
$30,150종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$30,150종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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