Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Karachi on May 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 3?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,579 거래량
$17,579 거래량
2026.05.03
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,579 거래량
$17,579 거래량
2026.05.03
27°C or below
$1,546 거래량
No
28°C
$1,248 거래량
No
29°C
$1,233 거래량
No
30°C
$1,165 거래량
No
31°C
$1,076 거래량
No
32°C
$1,081 거래량
No
33°C
$1,169 거래량
No
34°C
$2,141 거래량
No
35°C
$1,973 거래량
No
36°C
$2,689 거래량
No
37°C or higher
$2,258 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
거래량
$17,579종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,579종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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