Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 거래량
$46,008 거래량
2026.05.03
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 거래량
$46,008 거래량
2026.05.03
27°C or below
$7,638 거래량
No
28°C
$14,115 거래량
No
29°C
$2,559 거래량
No
30°C
$1,407 거래량
No
31°C
$2,372 거래량
No
32°C
$3,467 거래량
No
33°C
$1,841 거래량
No
34°C
$4,106 거래량
Yes
35°C
$2,579 거래량
No
36°C
$2,608 거래량
No
37°C or higher
$3,317 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$46,008종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$46,008종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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