Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lagos on May 6?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 6?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$104,946 거래량
$104,946 거래량
2026.05.06
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$104,946 거래량
$104,946 거래량
2026.05.06
27°C or below
$9,057 거래량
No
28°C
$3,215 거래량
No
29°C
$2,269 거래량
No
30°C
$3,502 거래량
No
31°C
$1,510 거래량
No
32°C
$10,436 거래량
No
33°C
$49,877 거래량
No
34°C
$7,464 거래량
Yes
35°C
$6,755 거래량
No
36°C
$3,524 거래량
No
37°C or higher
$7,337 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 4, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
거래량
$104,946종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 1:16 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$104,946종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 1:16 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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