Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lagos on May 9?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 거래량
$48,236 거래량
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 거래량
$48,236 거래량
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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