Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 16일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 16일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 기온?
33°C 32%
34°C 27%
32°C 16%
35°C 이상 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
25°C 이하
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
16%
33°C
32%
34°C
27%
35°C 이상
15%
33°C 32%
34°C 27%
32°C 16%
35°C 이상 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
25°C 이하
$186 거래량
<1%
26°C
$191 거래량
<1%
27°C
$580 거래량
<1%
28°C
$323 거래량
<1%
29°C
$322 거래량
<1%
30°C
$212 거래량
1%
31°C
$130 거래량
3%
32°C
$182 거래량
16%
33°C
$164 거래량
32%
34°C
$231 거래량
27%
35°C 이상
$348 거래량
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
거래량
$2,868종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,868종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 1:02 AM ETMonsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall across Uttar Pradesh remain the dominant factors moderating Lucknow's maximum temperatures, keeping forecast highs clustered near 34–36 °C for July 16. Official IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime peaks around 35–36 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with any heavier convective activity likely to cap readings closer to 33–34 °C. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide context, while the narrow spread in market-implied odds (35 °C or higher at 35.5 %, 34 °C at 28 %, 33 °C at 25 %) reflects genuine uncertainty over exact steering patterns and precipitation timing. Fresh model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will supply the key data for resolving these thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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