**Official IMD forecasts position 41°C as the most probable peak for Lucknow on June 26, with nearby values also competitive due to typical model spread.** The India Meteorological Department’s June 24 bulletin projects a maximum of 41°C under mainly clear skies and no heat-wave warning, following realized maxima of 40.9°C on June 23 and forecasts of 42°C on June 24–25. Persistent pre-monsoon conditions—dry northwesterly flow, low humidity, and strong daytime insolation—support these readings, while the absence of monsoon moisture or cloud cover keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of ~40°C. Trader positioning aligns closely with these authoritative updates: the 41°C and 42°C brackets together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and limited upside risk from a strengthening heat dome or delayed monsoon onset. Minor model differences across GFS/ECMWF runs and the possibility of a 1°C measurement variance at the official station explain the secondary weight on 40°C and 43°C. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market anchored to the current IMD consensus ahead of final 26 June observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 26?
41°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$102,457 거래량
$102,457 거래량
2026.06.26
37°C or below
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$102,457 거래량
$102,457 거래량
2026.06.26
37°C or below
$4,105 거래량
No
38°C
$3,816 거래량
No
39°C
$15,889 거래량
No
40°C
$17,475 거래량
No
41°C
$22,133 거래량
Yes
42°C
$11,080 거래량
No
43°C
$3,568 거래량
No
44°C
$1,879 거래량
No
45°C
$2,670 거래량
No
46°C
$6,476 거래량
No
47°C or higher
$13,366 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official IMD forecasts position 41°C as the most probable peak for Lucknow on June 26, with nearby values also competitive due to typical model spread.** The India Meteorological Department’s June 24 bulletin projects a maximum of 41°C under mainly clear skies and no heat-wave warning, following realized maxima of 40.9°C on June 23 and forecasts of 42°C on June 24–25. Persistent pre-monsoon conditions—dry northwesterly flow, low humidity, and strong daytime insolation—support these readings, while the absence of monsoon moisture or cloud cover keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of ~40°C.
Trader positioning aligns closely with these authoritative updates: the 41°C and 42°C brackets together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and limited upside risk from a strengthening heat dome or delayed monsoon onset. Minor model differences across GFS/ECMWF runs and the possibility of a 1°C measurement variance at the official station explain the secondary weight on 40°C and 43°C. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market anchored to the current IMD consensus ahead of final 26 June observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
거래량
$102,457종료일
2026.06.26마켓 개설일
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official IMD forecasts position 41°C as the most probable peak for Lucknow on June 26, with nearby values also competitive due to typical model spread.** The India Meteorological Department’s June 24 bulletin projects a maximum of 41°C under mainly clear skies and no heat-wave warning, following realized maxima of 40.9°C on June 23 and forecasts of 42°C on June 24–25. Persistent pre-monsoon conditions—dry northwesterly flow, low humidity, and strong daytime insolation—support these readings, while the absence of monsoon moisture or cloud cover keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of ~40°C.
Trader positioning aligns closely with these authoritative updates: the 41°C and 42°C brackets together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and limited upside risk from a strengthening heat dome or delayed monsoon onset. Minor model differences across GFS/ECMWF runs and the possibility of a 1°C measurement variance at the official station explain the secondary weight on 40°C and 43°C. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market anchored to the current IMD consensus ahead of final 26 June observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$102,457종료일
2026.06.26마켓 개설일
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
**Official IMD forecasts position 41°C as the most probable peak for Lucknow on June 26, with nearby values also competitive due to typical model spread.** The India Meteorological Department’s June 24 bulletin projects a maximum of 41°C under mainly clear skies and no heat-wave warning, following realized maxima of 40.9°C on June 23 and forecasts of 42°C on June 24–25. Persistent pre-monsoon conditions—dry northwesterly flow, low humidity, and strong daytime insolation—support these readings, while the absence of monsoon moisture or cloud cover keeps temperatures near seasonal norms of ~40°C. Trader positioning aligns closely with these authoritative updates: the 41°C and 42°C brackets together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and limited upside risk from a strengthening heat dome or delayed monsoon onset. Minor model differences across GFS/ECMWF runs and the possibility of a 1°C measurement variance at the official station explain the secondary weight on 40°C and 43°C. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market anchored to the current IMD consensus ahead of final 26 June observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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