India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 10?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 10?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 거래량
$27,628 거래량
2026.05.10
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 거래량
$27,628 거래량
2026.05.10
35°C or below
$5,101 거래량
Yes
36°C
$3,175 거래량
No
37°C
$3,094 거래량
No
38°C
$3,980 거래량
No
39°C
$1,159 거래량
No
40°C
$1,407 거래량
No
41°C
$1,121 거래량
No
42°C
$2,136 거래량
No
43°C
$709 거래량
No
44°C
$2,885 거래량
No
45°C or higher
$2,860 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$27,628종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$27,628종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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