India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 9?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 9?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$32,994 거래량
$32,994 거래량
2026.05.09
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$32,994 거래량
$32,994 거래량
2026.05.09
35°C or below
$5,656 거래량
Yes
36°C
$4,124 거래량
No
37°C
$3,108 거래량
No
38°C
$2,276 거래량
No
39°C
$2,901 거래량
No
40°C
$1,391 거래량
No
41°C
$1,931 거래량
No
42°C
$1,632 거래량
No
43°C
$3,001 거래량
No
44°C
$3,543 거래량
No
45°C or higher
$3,430 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$32,994종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$32,994종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 33.9°C on May 9, 2026—a departure of -5.8°C below seasonal norms—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 35°C or below, as this aligns precisely with the market's lowest outcome bin. Recent above-normal rainfall across Uttar Pradesh in early May, including the second-coolest May day in 57 years on May 5 at 28°C, has introduced persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing typical pre-monsoon heat that often exceeds 40°C. Forecast models from IMD anticipated this cap at around 35°C, with dry conditions persisting but no intensification signals. Realistic challenges would require a late-day measurement revision upward by official stations or unverified airport data discrepancies, though historical resolution precedents favor observed city-center readings. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock in resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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