Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daytime high of approximately 35°C on July 2, with model guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting this outcome. This aligns with the market's leading 35°C probability at 37%, followed by 34°C at 24.5%, reflecting consensus across short-range models on maximum temperatures near seasonal averages amid lingering warmth from a late-June heat wave. Key variables include diurnal heating rates over the central plateau, minimal precipitation risk, and potential slight cooling from northerly flow that could cap readings at 34°C or allow a brief spike to 36°C. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on July 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 2?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$145,219 거래량
$145,219 거래량
2026.07.02
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$145,219 거래량
$145,219 거래량
2026.07.02
31°C or below
$1,871 거래량
No
32°C
$18,849 거래량
No
33°C
$18,874 거래량
No
34°C
$19,744 거래량
No
35°C
$18,736 거래량
Yes
36°C
$22,742 거래량
No
37°C
$16,742 거래량
No
38°C
$13,693 거래량
No
39°C
$4,957 거래량
No
40°C
$3,638 거래량
No
41°C or higher
$5,373 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daytime high of approximately 35°C on July 2, with model guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting this outcome. This aligns with the market's leading 35°C probability at 37%, followed by 34°C at 24.5%, reflecting consensus across short-range models on maximum temperatures near seasonal averages amid lingering warmth from a late-June heat wave. Key variables include diurnal heating rates over the central plateau, minimal precipitation risk, and potential slight cooling from northerly flow that could cap readings at 34°C or allow a brief spike to 36°C. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
거래량
$145,219종료일
2026.07.02마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daytime high of approximately 35°C on July 2, with model guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting this outcome. This aligns with the market's leading 35°C probability at 37%, followed by 34°C at 24.5%, reflecting consensus across short-range models on maximum temperatures near seasonal averages amid lingering warmth from a late-June heat wave. Key variables include diurnal heating rates over the central plateau, minimal precipitation risk, and potential slight cooling from northerly flow that could cap readings at 34°C or allow a brief spike to 36°C. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$145,219종료일
2026.07.02마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent AEMET forecasts for Madrid indicate a daytime high of approximately 35°C on July 2, with model guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover supporting this outcome. This aligns with the market's leading 35°C probability at 37%, followed by 34°C at 24.5%, reflecting consensus across short-range models on maximum temperatures near seasonal averages amid lingering warmth from a late-June heat wave. Key variables include diurnal heating rates over the central plateau, minimal precipitation risk, and potential slight cooling from northerly flow that could cap readings at 34°C or allow a brief spike to 36°C. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the coming 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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