Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 거래량
$108,621 거래량
2026.06.15
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 거래량
$108,621 거래량
2026.06.15
27°C or below
$1,593 거래량
No
28°C
$4,207 거래량
No
29°C
$7,202 거래량
No
30°C
$13,883 거래량
No
31°C
$12,576 거래량
No
32°C
$19,769 거래량
Yes
33°C
$14,035 거래량
No
34°C
$16,312 거래량
No
35°C
$13,300 거래량
No
36°C
$3,846 거래량
No
37°C or higher
$1,898 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
거래량
$108,621종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$108,621종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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