Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on June 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 17?
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$87,247 거래량
$87,247 거래량
2026.06.17
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$87,247 거래량
$87,247 거래량
2026.06.17
32°C or below
$3,438 거래량
No
33°C
$4,278 거래량
No
34°C
$11,606 거래량
No
35°C
$26,217 거래량
Yes
36°C
$14,466 거래량
No
37°C
$15,936 거래량
No
38°C
$8,168 거래량
No
39°C
$1,022 거래량
No
40°C
$861 거래량
No
41°C
$1,100 거래량
No
42°C or higher
$155 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$87,247종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$87,247종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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