AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on June 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 7?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$79,809 거래량
$79,809 거래량
2026.06.07
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$79,809 거래량
$79,809 거래량
2026.06.07
28°C or below
$2,871 거래량
No
29°C
$3,016 거래량
No
30°C
$4,914 거래량
No
31°C
$18,685 거래량
No
32°C
$15,898 거래량
No
33°C
$14,134 거래량
Yes
34°C
$9,077 거래량
No
35°C
$4,196 거래량
No
36°C
$6,480 거래량
No
37°C
$379 거래량
No
38°C or higher
$158 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$79,809종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$79,809종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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