Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on May 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 10?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,310 거래량
$141,310 거래량
2026.05.10
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,310 거래량
$141,310 거래량
2026.05.10
13°C or below
$8,667 거래량
No
14°C
$8,312 거래량
No
15°C
$16,717 거래량
No
16°C
$20,144 거래량
Yes
17°C
$24,122 거래량
No
18°C
$24,782 거래량
No
19°C
$16,454 거래량
No
20°C
$9,679 거래량
No
21°C
$6,666 거래량
No
22°C
$3,470 거래량
No
23°C or higher
$2,298 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$141,310종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$141,310종료일
2026.05.10마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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