Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$101,541 거래량
$101,541 거래량
2026.05.22
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$101,541 거래량
$101,541 거래량
2026.05.22
27°C or below
$1,619 거래량
No
28°C
$1,993 거래량
No
29°C
$1,369 거래량
No
30°C
$6,335 거래량
No
31°C
$18,291 거래량
No
32°C
$19,916 거래량
Yes
33°C
$25,653 거래량
No
34°C
$9,487 거래량
No
35°C
$7,269 거래량
No
36°C
$5,686 거래량
No
37°C or higher
$3,924 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
거래량
$101,541종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$101,541종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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