Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on June 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 5?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,856 거래량
$32,856 거래량
2026.06.05
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,856 거래량
$32,856 거래량
2026.06.05
25°C or below
$405 거래량
No
26°C
$493 거래량
No
27°C
$1,393 거래량
No
28°C
$4,703 거래량
No
29°C
$6,371 거래량
No
30°C
$6,352 거래량
Yes
31°C
$2,754 거래량
No
32°C
$3,588 거래량
No
33°C
$3,244 거래량
No
34°C
$2,533 거래량
No
35°C or higher
$1,021 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
거래량
$32,856종료일
2026.06.05마켓 개설일
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$32,856종료일
2026.06.05마켓 개설일
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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