PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on May 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 3?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,370 거래량
$27,370 거래량
2026.05.03
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,370 거래량
$27,370 거래량
2026.05.03
29°C or below
$1,612 거래량
No
30°C
$1,114 거래량
No
31°C
$1,187 거래량
No
32°C
$1,566 거래량
No
33°C
$2,660 거래량
No
34°C
$3,902 거래량
No
35°C
$3,655 거래량
No
36°C
$4,222 거래량
Yes
37°C
$3,293 거래량
No
38°C
$2,566 거래량
No
39°C or higher
$1,594 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
거래량
$27,370종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$27,370종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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