PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on May 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 7?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$34,241 거래량
$34,241 거래량
2026.05.07
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$34,241 거래량
$34,241 거래량
2026.05.07
30°C or below
$356 거래량
No
31°C
$592 거래량
No
32°C
$1,459 거래량
No
33°C
$1,539 거래량
No
34°C
$11,886 거래량
No
35°C
$5,762 거래량
No
36°C
$3,921 거래량
Yes
37°C
$2,890 거래량
No
38°C
$2,878 거래량
No
39°C
$1,829 거래량
No
40°C or higher
$1,130 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
거래량
$34,241종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$34,241종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model run projects a maximum temperature of 36°C at Port Area, Metro Manila, on May 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers driven by easterlies—a pattern capping peak heating during the ongoing dry season. This aligns with current observations, including 35.8°C at Science Garden, Quezon City, and yesterday's 36.3°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA), fostering trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 36°C as the market nears resolution based on finalized Wunderground NAIA data. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing skies boosting insolation or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 37°C, though model stability and humidity suppress such risks; expect post-midnight confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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