Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Miami on May 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 7?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$82,491 거래량
$82,491 거래량
2026.05.07
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$82,491 거래량
$82,491 거래량
2026.05.07
79°F or below
$1,789 거래량
No
80-81°F
$1,104 거래량
No
82-83°F
$2,601 거래량
No
84-85°F
$7,539 거래량
No
86-87°F
$10,512 거래량
No
88-89°F
$8,273 거래량
No
90-91°F
$14,526 거래량
Yes
92-93°F
$10,417 거래량
No
94-95°F
$9,157 거래량
No
96-97°F
$10,658 거래량
No
98°F or higher
$5,915 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
거래량
$82,491종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$82,491종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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