Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$63,310 거래량
$63,310 거래량
2026.05.03
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$63,310 거래량
$63,310 거래량
2026.05.03
17°C or below
$2,636 거래량
No
18°C
$1,676 거래량
No
19°C
$1,296 거래량
No
20°C
$1,942 거래량
No
21°C
$3,459 거래량
No
22°C
$6,329 거래량
No
23°C
$13,892 거래량
Yes
24°C
$10,829 거래량
No
25°C
$9,204 거래량
No
26°C
$6,285 거래량
No
27°C or higher
$5,764 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
거래량
$63,310종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$63,310종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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