Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on May 31?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 31?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,551 거래량
$42,551 거래량
2026.05.31
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,551 거래량
$42,551 거래량
2026.05.31
25°C or below
$486 거래량
No
26°C
$411 거래량
No
27°C
$900 거래량
No
28°C
$2,320 거래량
No
29°C
$3,923 거래량
No
30°C
$7,303 거래량
No
31°C
$9,001 거래량
Yes
32°C
$5,704 거래량
No
33°C
$4,940 거래량
No
34°C
$4,291 거래량
No
35°C or higher
$3,271 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$42,551종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$42,551종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged tightly on a Milan peak of 31°C for May 31 under southerly Mediterranean advection and building high pressure, with limited model spread and minimal upside risk from afternoon heating or cloud cover. Official observational data aligned precisely with this consensus, driving the market-implied probability for the 31°C outcome to 100% as traders incorporated the final readings. Historical late-May climatology for the Po Valley supports maxima clustering near this value during anticyclonic conditions. A sudden frontal passage or unforecasted radiative cooling could have shifted the outcome, though neither materialized in the verified station data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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