Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on May 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 4?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$137,337 거래량
$137,337 거래량
2026.05.04
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$137,337 거래량
$137,337 거래량
2026.05.04
16°C or below
$5,763 거래량
No
17°C
$7,568 거래량
No
18°C
$7,588 거래량
No
19°C
$7,904 거래량
No
20°C
$8,437 거래량
No
21°C
$54,105 거래량
No
22°C
$18,915 거래량
Yes
23°C
$15,195 거래량
No
24°C
$6,590 거래량
No
25°C
$3,732 거래량
No
26°C or higher
$1,539 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
거래량
$137,337종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$137,337종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문