Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 6?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$94,149 거래량
$94,149 거래량
2026.05.06
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$94,149 거래량
$94,149 거래량
2026.05.06
10°C or below
$362 거래량
No
11°C
$270 거래량
No
12°C
$770 거래량
No
13°C
$1,750 거래량
No
14°C
$3,429 거래량
No
15°C
$9,265 거래량
No
16°C
$17,600 거래량
No
17°C
$16,136 거래량
Yes
18°C
$13,120 거래량
No
19°C
$13,991 거래량
No
20°C or higher
$17,457 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
거래량
$94,149종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$94,149종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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