**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$62,598 거래량
$62,598 거래량
2026.05.03
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$62,598 거래량
$62,598 거래량
2026.05.03
14°C or below
$2,255 거래량
No
15°C
$1,648 거래량
No
16°C
$3,363 거래량
No
17°C
$4,060 거래량
No
18°C
$4,451 거래량
No
19°C
$4,058 거래량
No
20°C
$6,161 거래량
No
21°C
$7,651 거래량
Yes
22°C
$12,548 거래량
No
23°C
$8,527 거래량
No
24°C or higher
$7,875 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
거래량
$62,598종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$62,598종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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