Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on April 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 21?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$111,887 거래량
$111,887 거래량
2026.04.21
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$111,887 거래량
$111,887 거래량
2026.04.21
4°C or below
$2,853 거래량
No
5°C
$757 거래량
No
6°C
$3,071 거래량
No
7°C
$12,322 거래량
No
8°C
$19,717 거래량
No
9°C
$13,111 거래량
No
10°C
$15,797 거래량
Yes
11°C
$14,123 거래량
No
12°C
$14,095 거래량
No
13°C
$7,908 거래량
No
14°C or higher
$8,134 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$111,887종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$111,887종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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