Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 17일 뮌헨에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 17일 뮌헨에서 가장 높은 기온?
28°C 28.7%
27°C 27%
29°C 24.9%
26°C 13%
신규
신규
2026.07.17
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
13%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
25%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 28.7%
27°C 27%
29°C 24.9%
26°C 13%
신규
신규
2026.07.17
23°C or below
$22 거래량
1%
24°C
$27 거래량
4%
25°C
$22 거래량
9%
26°C
$160 거래량
13%
27°C
$54 거래량
27%
28°C
$47 거래량
29%
29°C
$69 거래량
25%
30°C
$22 거래량
4%
31°C
$27 거래량
2%
32°C
$27 거래량
1%
33°C or higher
$27 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$504종료일
2026.07.17마켓 개설일
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$504종료일
2026.07.17마켓 개설일
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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