Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on July 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 7?
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.07
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
31%
31°C
28%
32°C
11%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.07
25°C or below
$268 거래량
1%
26°C
$23 거래량
1%
27°C
$177 거래량
3%
28°C
$203 거래량
8%
29°C
$52 거래량
23%
30°C
$105 거래량
31%
31°C
$173 거래량
28%
32°C
$21 거래량
11%
33°C
$15 거래량
1%
34°C
$42 거래량
1%
35°C or higher
$16 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$1,005종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,005종료일
2026.07.07마켓 개설일
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from agencies like the German Weather Service points to a peak temperature near 30°C in Munich on July 7, driven by residual high pressure and warm advection following the early-July European heatwave. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective development, with thundery showers potentially limiting afternoon heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This keeps 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology shows typical Munich highs around 24–26°C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup elevates probabilities for the upper end of the distribution while still allowing for modest cooling.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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