Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on May 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 11?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 거래량
$83,241 거래량
2026.05.11
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 거래량
$83,241 거래량
2026.05.11
9°C or below
$766 거래량
No
10°C
$499 거래량
No
11°C
$1,908 거래량
No
12°C
$3,022 거래량
No
13°C
$5,293 거래량
No
14°C
$3,691 거래량
No
15°C
$7,469 거래량
No
16°C
$8,828 거래량
No
17°C
$12,137 거래량
No
18°C
$13,437 거래량
No
19°C or higher
$26,192 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
거래량
$83,241종료일
2026.05.11마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$83,241종료일
2026.05.11마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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