Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$89,191 거래량
$89,191 거래량
2026.05.02
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$89,191 거래량
$89,191 거래량
2026.05.02
16°C or below
$2,437 거래량
No
17°C
$938 거래량
No
18°C
$1,392 거래량
No
19°C
$5,127 거래량
No
20°C
$7,779 거래량
No
21°C
$7,805 거래량
No
22°C
$13,751 거래량
No
23°C
$11,861 거래량
No
24°C
$12,988 거래량
No
25°C
$12,889 거래량
Yes
26°C or higher
$12,223 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$89,191종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$89,191종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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