Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on May 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 7?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$153,987 거래량
$153,987 거래량
2026.05.07
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$153,987 거래량
$153,987 거래량
2026.05.07
12°C or below
$12,499 거래량
No
13°C
$10,080 거래량
No
14°C
$26,215 거래량
No
15°C
$24,446 거래량
Yes
16°C
$23,040 거래량
No
17°C
$20,487 거래량
No
18°C
$11,254 거래량
No
19°C
$7,934 거래량
No
20°C
$6,513 거래량
No
21°C
$5,028 거래량
No
22°C or higher
$6,490 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
거래량
$153,987종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$153,987종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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