The market's near-certain positioning on 94-95°F stems from the official National Weather Service daily climate report for Central Park, which recorded a maximum of that exact range under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow on June 12. This outcome aligned with model consensus from prior days showing strong warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, pushing temperatures 12–15°F above the June climatological average of ~81°F. High dew points in the upper 60s amplified the heat index, though dry conditions prevented convective cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision to the preliminary NWS data or an unforeseen measurement anomaly at the official station, both of which are rare once the climatological summary is finalized. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects high confidence in these verified observations over forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on June 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 12?
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$188,770 거래량
$188,770 거래량
2026.06.12
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$188,770 거래량
$188,770 거래량
2026.06.12
81°F or below
$14,811 거래량
No
82-83°F
$10,032 거래량
No
84-85°F
$17,134 거래량
No
86-87°F
$15,961 거래량
No
88-89°F
$25,777 거래량
No
90-91°F
$30,955 거래량
No
92-93°F
$17,025 거래량
No
94-95°F
$19,676 거래량
Yes
96-97°F
$19,304 거래량
No
98-99°F
$8,622 거래량
No
100°F or higher
$9,472 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning on 94-95°F stems from the official National Weather Service daily climate report for Central Park, which recorded a maximum of that exact range under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow on June 12. This outcome aligned with model consensus from prior days showing strong warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, pushing temperatures 12–15°F above the June climatological average of ~81°F. High dew points in the upper 60s amplified the heat index, though dry conditions prevented convective cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision to the preliminary NWS data or an unforeseen measurement anomaly at the official station, both of which are rare once the climatological summary is finalized. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects high confidence in these verified observations over forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
거래량
$188,770종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning on 94-95°F stems from the official National Weather Service daily climate report for Central Park, which recorded a maximum of that exact range under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow on June 12. This outcome aligned with model consensus from prior days showing strong warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, pushing temperatures 12–15°F above the June climatological average of ~81°F. High dew points in the upper 60s amplified the heat index, though dry conditions prevented convective cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision to the preliminary NWS data or an unforeseen measurement anomaly at the official station, both of which are rare once the climatological summary is finalized. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects high confidence in these verified observations over forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$188,770종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The market's near-certain positioning on 94-95°F stems from the official National Weather Service daily climate report for Central Park, which recorded a maximum of that exact range under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow on June 12. This outcome aligned with model consensus from prior days showing strong warm-air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, pushing temperatures 12–15°F above the June climatological average of ~81°F. High dew points in the upper 60s amplified the heat index, though dry conditions prevented convective cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision to the preliminary NWS data or an unforeseen measurement anomaly at the official station, both of which are rare once the climatological summary is finalized. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects high confidence in these verified observations over forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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