Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on June 16?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$90,673 거래량
$90,673 거래량
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$90,673 거래량
$90,673 거래량
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from New York City reporting stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 78–79°F on June 16, 2026, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket to 100%. This outcome aligns with mid-June climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range from the mid-70s to low-80s under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. National Weather Service data confirm modest daytime heating without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. The near-certain positioning reflects verified post-event measurements rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless official station data undergo rare quality-control adjustments. Scenarios that could challenge resolution remain limited to discrepancies between primary stations or last-minute data corrections.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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