Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 19?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$126,060 거래량
$126,060 거래량
2026.06.19
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$126,060 거래량
$126,060 거래량
2026.06.19
75°F or below
$2,940 거래량
No
76-77°F
$5,237 거래량
No
78-79°F
$13,248 거래량
No
80-81°F
$17,599 거래량
No
82-83°F
$18,827 거래량
Yes
84-85°F
$21,153 거래량
No
86-87°F
$26,916 거래량
No
88-89°F
$11,151 거래량
No
90-91°F
$6,358 거래량
No
92-93°F
$1,297 거래량
No
94°F or higher
$1,335 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
거래량
$126,060종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$126,060종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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