National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on May 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 23?
56-57°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$80,156 거래량
$80,156 거래량
2026.05.23
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$80,156 거래량
$80,156 거래량
2026.05.23
45°F or below
$10,702 거래량
No
46-47°F
$1,499 거래량
No
48-49°F
$1,173 거래량
No
50-51°F
$2,720 거래량
No
52-53°F
$3,401 거래량
No
54-55°F
$9,505 거래량
No
56-57°F
$19,363 거래량
Yes
58-59°F
$9,754 거래량
No
60-61°F
$8,744 거래량
No
62-63°F
$7,000 거래량
No
64°F or higher
$6,292 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
거래량
$80,156종료일
2026.05.23마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$80,156종료일
2026.05.23마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문