Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$439,318 거래량
$439,318 거래량
2026.05.06
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$439,318 거래량
$439,318 거래량
2026.05.06
55°F or below
$3,460 거래량
No
56-57°F
$1,038 거래량
No
58-59°F
$3,441 거래량
No
60-61°F
$120,441 거래량
No
62-63°F
$117,854 거래량
No
64-65°F
$16,558 거래량
No
66-67°F
$53,461 거래량
Yes
68-69°F
$29,525 거래량
No
70-71°F
$33,497 거래량
No
72-73°F
$25,879 거래량
No
74°F or higher
$34,164 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$439,318종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$439,318종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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