Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds sustaining a daytime maximum near 25°C. This setup aligns with observed surface conditions and 850 hPa temperature fields, producing narrow forecast spread and strong model consensus that underpins the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical June baselines around 22–24°C provide additional context, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can add localized variability. A late-day convective cell or rapid model revision could still shift the recorded high, but current observational data and steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$113,638 거래량
$113,638 거래량
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$113,638 거래량
$113,638 거래량
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds sustaining a daytime maximum near 25°C. This setup aligns with observed surface conditions and 850 hPa temperature fields, producing narrow forecast spread and strong model consensus that underpins the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical June baselines around 22–24°C provide additional context, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can add localized variability. A late-day convective cell or rapid model revision could still shift the recorded high, but current observational data and steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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