Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,230 거래량
$137,230 거래량
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,230 거래량
$137,230 거래량
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C at Paris-area stations, including the resolution site at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, under stable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns with mid-June climatology for the region while incorporating current synoptic conditions that suppress both stronger warming and cooling influences. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window. Unexpected shifts in afternoon insolation, a late sea-breeze intrusion, or minor measurement variations at the official station remain the primary variables that could still alter the recorded high before the day closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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