**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on May 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 4?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,939 거래량
$157,939 거래량
2026.05.04
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,939 거래량
$157,939 거래량
2026.05.04
14°C or below
$4,261 거래량
No
15°C
$5,655 거래량
No
16°C
$18,514 거래량
No
17°C
$22,341 거래량
No
18°C
$24,534 거래량
Yes
19°C
$22,408 거래량
No
20°C
$26,222 거래량
No
21°C
$15,545 거래량
No
22°C
$8,619 거래량
No
23°C
$4,237 거래량
No
24°C or higher
$5,602 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$157,939종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$157,939종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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